YEARLY HIGH
4.2581 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8637 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0657 UGX

2019 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 4.2581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 3.8637.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3944 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1648 to the December average rate of 3.9324, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.2581 was down 6.33% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.5457, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,291 UGX
2018 Average 21,449 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,319 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,971.87 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.1880
3.9092
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1367, compared to 3.9947 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1367
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9947

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.1655 UGX (High: 4.2581 / Low: 4.0926). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0318 UGX (High: 4.0638 / Low: 4.0320).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1655
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0318

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0664 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0664

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4.1648) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.2641), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0994 (-2.33%).

2019 Avg (January) 4.1648
2018 Avg (January) 4.2641

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2581 4.0926 4.1648
February 4.1536 4.0799 4.1173
March 4.2093 4.1021 4.1332
April 4.1567 4.1149 4.1378
May 4.1780 4.1281 4.1570
June 4.2013 4.0474 4.1101
July 4.0638 4.0320 4.0436
August 4.0696 4.0104 4.0304
September 4.0128 3.9722 3.9872
October 4.0507 3.9771 3.9998
November 4.0426 3.9521 3.9747
December 4.0200 3.8637 3.9324