YEARLY HIGH
5.1681 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.0027 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5392 UGX

2015 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 5.1681. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 4.0027.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1653 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1249 to the December average rate of 4.5043, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.1681 was up 28.52% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.0212, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,840 UGX
2014 Average 18,967 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,014 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,826.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.2126
4.0260
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2836, compared to 4.7948 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2836
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7948

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 0.4241 UGX (High: 5.1411 / Low: 4.7169). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0682 UGX (High: 4.1976 / Low: 4.1294).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.4241
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0682

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3899 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3899

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 5.1137) against the same month in 2014 (average: 3.7928), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3209 (+34.83%).

2015 Avg (September) 5.1137
2014 Avg (September) 3.7928

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2179 4.0027 4.1249
February 4.1976 4.1294 4.1593
March 4.3160 4.0991 4.2384
April 4.3605 4.2799 4.3217
May 4.4380 4.3028 4.3494
June 4.6326 4.4377 4.5080
July 4.8620 4.5017 4.6378
August 5.1411 4.7169 4.9280
September 5.1681 5.0090 5.1137
October 5.1596 4.7431 4.9876
November 4.7709 4.4992 4.5977
December 4.6237 4.4397 4.5043