2016 RWF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.6627 UGX

YEARLY LOW

4.1592 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.3847 UGX

2016 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 4.6627. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 30, dropping to 4.1592.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5036 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6004 to the December average rate of 4.3634, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.6627 was down 9.78% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1681, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,314 UGX

2015 Average 22,706 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 20,796 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,517.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.6384

4.1824

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4636, compared to 4.3057 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1579 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4636

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3057

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.3294 UGX (High: 4.5795 / Low: 4.2501). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0621 UGX (High: 4.2561 / Low: 4.1940).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.3294

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0621

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1294 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1294

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.6004) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.1249), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4756 (+11.53%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.6004

2015 Avg (January) 4.1249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.6627	4.5166	4.6004
February	4.6553	4.4032	4.5464
March	4.5042	4.3236	4.4357
April	4.4608	4.2511	4.3889
May	4.5097	4.3159	4.3948
June	4.5795	4.2501	4.4155
July	4.5116	4.2805	4.3817
August	4.3030	4.1592	4.2523
September	4.2561	4.1940	4.2204
October	4.3466	4.1743	4.2553
November	4.4483	4.2248	4.3612
December	4.4268	4.2622	4.3634