YEARLY HIGH
3.4877 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.9843 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2231 UGX

2023 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 3.4877. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 2.9843.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5034 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4352 to the December average rate of 3.0158, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3.4877 was down 7.65% compared to the 2022 peak of 3.7768, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,439 UGX
2022 Average 17,810 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 14,921 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,517.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3.4771
2.9739
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3629, compared to 3.0834 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2795 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3629
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0834

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 0.2111 UGX (High: 3.3229 / Low: 3.1118). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0362 UGX (High: 3.0738 / Low: 3.0376).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.2111
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0362

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.1033 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 3.4352) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.4359), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0007 (-0.02%).

2023 Avg (January) 3.4352
2022 Avg (January) 3.4359

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.4877 3.4050 3.4352
February 3.4347 3.3694 3.3935
March 3.4451 3.3893 3.4160
April 3.4247 3.2879 3.3733
May 3.3549 3.2867 3.3216
June 3.3229 3.1118 3.2375
July 3.1814 3.0318 3.1342
August 3.1617 3.0537 3.1117
September 3.1346 3.0750 3.1071
October 3.0862 3.0326 3.0709
November 3.0738 3.0376 3.0606
December 3.0595 2.9843 3.0158