YEARLY HIGH
2.5979 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.3722 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.5223 UGX

2026 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 2.5979. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 2.3722.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2257 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4502 to the December average rate of 2.5579, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 2.5979 was down 2.76% compared to the 2025 peak of 2.6716, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,989 UGX
2025 Average 12,569 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 11,861 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,128.48 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

2.5842
2.4330
JanuMarcMayJuly

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5166, compared to 2.5393 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0226 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5166
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5393

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.1295 UGX (High: 2.5979 / Low: 2.4684). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 2.5579 / Low: 2.5579).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1295
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0385 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 2.5557) against the same month in 2025 (average: 2.5812), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0256 (-0.99%).

2026 Avg (March) 2.5557
2025 Avg (March) 2.5812

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.4928 2.3722 2.4502
February 2.4748 2.4208 2.4456
March 2.5979 2.4684 2.5557
April 2.5717 2.5176 2.5437
May 2.5777 2.5572 2.5716
June 2.5764 2.4754 2.5331
July 2.5692 2.4931 2.5207
August 2.5579 2.5579 2.5579