YEARLY HIGH
4.1382 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.6791 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8848 UGX

2020 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 4.1382. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 3.6791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4591 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8988 to the December average rate of 3.7111, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 4.1382 was down 2.82% compared to the 2019 peak of 4.2581, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,691 UGX
2019 Average 20,327 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,396 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,295.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4.0637
3.6791
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9614, compared to 3.8081 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1533 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9614
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8081

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2383 UGX (High: 4.1382 / Low: 3.8999). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0666 UGX (High: 3.7458 / Low: 3.6791).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2383
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0666

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0953 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0953

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 3.9871) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.1332), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1460 (-3.53%).

2020 Avg (March) 3.9871
2019 Avg (March) 4.1332

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9347 3.8657 3.8988
February 3.9661 3.8589 3.9058
March 4.1382 3.8999 3.9871
April 4.0594 3.9536 4.0086
May 4.0732 3.9725 4.0317
June 4.0283 3.9024 3.9363
July 3.9227 3.8540 3.8828
August 3.8797 3.7996 3.8213
September 3.8763 3.8040 3.8408
October 3.8801 3.7885 3.8208
November 3.8281 3.7412 3.7720
December 3.7458 3.6791 3.7111