YEARLY HIGH
4.0212 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.6122 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7923 UGX

2014 RWF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the RWF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 4.0212. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 3.6122.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4090 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6835 to the December average rate of 4.0003, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.0212 was down 8.08% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.3748, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,106 UGX
2013 Average 19,929 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,061 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,045.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.0369
3.5980
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7085, compared to 3.8760 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1675 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7085
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8760

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.1343 UGX (High: 4.0143 / Low: 3.8799). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0439 UGX (High: 3.7366 / Low: 3.6928).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1343
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0439

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0696 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0696

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.0003) against the same month in 2013 (average: 3.7273), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2730 (+7.32%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.0003
2013 Avg (December) 3.7273

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7388 3.6365 3.6835
February 3.7251 3.6122 3.6345
March 3.7778 3.6832 3.7232
April 3.7730 3.6806 3.7110
May 3.7366 3.6928 3.7134
June 3.8327 3.7397 3.7855
July 3.9167 3.7929 3.8484
August 3.7950 3.7500 3.7788
September 3.8479 3.7579 3.7928
October 3.9221 3.8230 3.8743
November 4.0143 3.8799 3.9615
December 4.0212 3.9722 4.0003