2011 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4198 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.0085 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2783 ETB

2011 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 1.4198. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 1.0085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4113 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0245 to the December average rate of 1.2936, the exchange rate registered a net change of 26.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.4198 was up 33.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.0637, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,099 ETB

2010 Average 4,784 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 5,042 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,056.45 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.4281

0.9878

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1940, compared to 1.3625 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1685 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1940

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3625

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.3456 ETB (High: 1.4000 / Low: 1.0544). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0302 ETB (High: 1.0526 / Low: 1.0224).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3456

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0302

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0522 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0522

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 1.3890) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.9954), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3936 (+39.55%).

2011 Avg (September) 1.3890

2010 Avg (September) 0.9954

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0451	1.0085	1.0245
February	1.0526	1.0224	1.0354
March	1.0568	1.0149	1.0385
April	1.4000	1.0544	1.3282
May	1.3878	1.3484	1.3598
June	1.4019	1.3503	1.3776
July	1.4090	1.3581	1.3896
August	1.4161	1.3615	1.3914
September	1.4198	1.3656	1.3890
October	1.3875	1.3323	1.3656
November	1.3701	1.3128	1.3457
December	1.3399	1.2486	1.2936