2014 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6343 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.4053 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5503 ETB

2014 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 1.6343. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 1.4053.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2290 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5878 to the December average rate of 1.4428, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.6343 was up 2.49% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.5946, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,171 ETB

2013 Average 7,752 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 7,027 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,144.82 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.6301

1.3961

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5951, compared to 1.5054 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0897 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5951

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5054

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.1154 ETB (High: 1.5260 / Low: 1.4106). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0144 ETB (High: 1.4197 / Low: 1.4053).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1154

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0144

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0551 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0551

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 1.6106) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.5821), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0285 (+1.80%).

2014 Avg (April) 1.6106

2013 Avg (April) 1.5821

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5973	1.5756	1.5878
February	1.5979	1.5671	1.5860
March	1.6147	1.5773	1.5897
April	1.6343	1.5827	1.6106
May	1.6329	1.5577	1.5999
June	1.6138	1.5825	1.5967
July	1.6098	1.5863	1.6032
August	1.6105	1.5316	1.5773
September	1.5449	1.5126	1.5244
October	1.5260	1.4106	1.4693
November	1.4197	1.4053	1.4156
December	1.5172	1.4167	1.4428