YEARLY HIGH
12.1941 ETB
YEARLY LOW
10.2232 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
11.4092 ETB

2026 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 12.1941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 10.2232.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9709 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.0668 to the December average rate of 11.8304, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 12.1941 was up 5.68% compared to the 2025 peak of 11.5390, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,971 ETB
2025 Average 48,603 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 51,116 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,854.75 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

11.9171
10.8770
JanuMarcMayJuly

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.2738, compared to 11.8154 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5416 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.2738
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.8154

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 1.5611 ETB (High: 11.8291 / Low: 10.2681). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3115 ETB (High: 11.7340 / Low: 11.4225).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.5611
May Spread (Stable) ±0.3115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2257 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2257

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 11.6819) against the same month in 2025 (average: 9.4310), the exchange rate shifted by +2.2509 (+23.87%).

2026 Avg (June) 11.6819
2025 Avg (June) 9.4310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.6958 10.3237 11.0668
February 11.8291 10.2681 11.2448
March 11.6421 10.2232 11.0191
April 11.4707 10.2989 10.9637
May 11.7340 11.4225 11.6665
June 12.1941 11.2124 11.6819
July 12.0745 10.9538 11.8004
August 12.0160 11.6978 11.8304