YEARLY HIGH
4.3721 ETB
YEARLY LOW
3.7900 ETB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0754 ETB

2023 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 4.3721. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 3.7900.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5821 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9627 to the December average rate of 4.1813, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.52% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4.3721 was up 4.90% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.1677, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,860 ETB
2022 Average 19,187 ETB
Yearly Trough Low 18,950 ETB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,910.34 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4.2273
3.9386
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9915, compared to 4.1593 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1678 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9915
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1593

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was January, with a trading range of 0.3616 ETB (High: 4.1516 / Low: 3.7900). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1559 ETB (High: 4.1876 / Low: 4.0318).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3616
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1559

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0448 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0448

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 4.1743) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3.9566), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2177 (+5.50%).

2023 Avg (October) 4.1743
2022 Avg (October) 3.9566

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1516 3.7900 3.9627
February 4.1297 3.7940 3.9655
March 4.1441 3.8230 3.9956
April 4.2048 3.8559 4.0115
May 4.1583 3.8715 4.0293
June 4.1766 3.8470 3.9845
July 4.2174 3.8610 4.1040
August 4.1876 4.0318 4.1192
September 4.3411 4.0569 4.2032
October 4.3721 4.0320 4.1743
November 4.2717 4.0550 4.1738
December 4.3601 4.0351 4.1813