2013 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5946 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.3897 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5499 ETB

2013 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 25, valuing the pair at 1.5946. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 1.3897.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2049 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4056 to the December average rate of 1.5838, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.68% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.5946 was up 14.01% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.3986, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,973 ETB

2012 Average 6,486 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 6,948 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,024.34 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.6016

1.3878

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5272, compared to 1.5727 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0455 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5272

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5727

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1051 ETB (High: 1.5946 / Low: 1.4894). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0143 ETB (High: 1.5857 / Low: 1.5714).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1051

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0112 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 1.5584) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.2373), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3211 (+25.95%).

2013 Avg (March) 1.5584

2012 Avg (March) 1.2373

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.4339	1.3897	1.4056
February	1.4997	1.4355	1.4580
March	1.5946	1.4894	1.5584
April	1.5882	1.5724	1.5821
May	1.5916	1.5704	1.5815
June	1.5857	1.5714	1.5774
July	1.5828	1.5519	1.5662
August	1.5776	1.5579	1.5683
September	1.5799	1.5568	1.5686
October	1.5809	1.5582	1.5713
November	1.5877	1.5572	1.5780
December	1.5933	1.5724	1.5838