2016 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7337 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.4866 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6459 ETB

2016 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 1.7337. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 1.4866.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2471 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6247 to the December average rate of 1.6729, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.7337 was up 0.05% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7328, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,669 ETB

2015 Average 7,783 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 7,433 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,235.61 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6840

1.5843

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6210, compared to 1.6709 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0499 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6210

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6709

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1736 ETB (High: 1.6601 / Low: 1.4866). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0288 ETB (High: 1.6832 / Low: 1.6544).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1736

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0288

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0321 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0321

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 1.6661) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.5601), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1060 (+6.80%).

2016 Avg (June) 1.6661

2015 Avg (June) 1.5601

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6551	1.5597	1.6247
February	1.6601	1.4866	1.5926
March	1.6473	1.5843	1.6095
April	1.6872	1.5291	1.6051
May	1.6779	1.5618	1.6278
June	1.7337	1.6248	1.6661
July	1.7215	1.6268	1.6686
August	1.6876	1.6366	1.6671
September	1.6832	1.6544	1.6682
October	1.6976	1.6580	1.6757
November	1.7017	1.6530	1.6728
December	1.7088	1.6446	1.6729