2015 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7328 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.4250 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5559 ETB

2015 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 1.7328. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 1.4250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3077 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4554 to the December average rate of 1.6533, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.7328 was up 6.02% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.6343, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,664 ETB

2014 Average 7,751 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 7,125 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,538.73 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.6737

1.4288

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4985, compared to 1.6134 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1148 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4985

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6134

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.1525 ETB (High: 1.7328 / Low: 1.5802). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0402 ETB (High: 1.5286 / Low: 1.4884).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1525

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0402

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0062 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0062

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 1.6533) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.4428), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2105 (+14.59%).

2015 Avg (December) 1.6533

2014 Avg (December) 1.4428

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5372	1.4250	1.4554
February	1.4801	1.4311	1.4492
March	1.5236	1.4497	1.4875
April	1.5286	1.4884	1.5077
May	1.5610	1.5042	1.5313
June	1.5959	1.5362	1.5601
July	1.6199	1.5401	1.5816
August	1.6297	1.5630	1.5912
September	1.6425	1.5476	1.6019
October	1.6551	1.5547	1.6111
November	1.6866	1.5784	1.6411
December	1.7328	1.5802	1.6533