2012 SCR to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3986 ETB

YEARLY LOW

1.1928 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2970 ETB

2012 SCR to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 1.3986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 18, dropping to 1.1928.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2058 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2470 to the December average rate of 1.3928, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.3986 was down 1.49% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.4198, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,993 ETB

2011 Average 6,397 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 5,964 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,028.91 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.4095

1.2090

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2399, compared to 1.3542 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1144 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2399

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3542

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.1056 ETB (High: 1.3842 / Low: 1.2786). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0137 ETB (High: 1.3986 / Low: 1.3849).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1056

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0184 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0184

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1.3928) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.2936), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0992 (+7.67%).

2012 Avg (December) 1.3928

2011 Avg (December) 1.2936

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2971	1.2198	1.2470
February	1.2598	1.2109	1.2394
March	1.2748	1.2188	1.2373
April	1.2689	1.2161	1.2456
May	1.2698	1.2082	1.2441
June	1.2583	1.2009	1.2257
July	1.2756	1.1928	1.2303
August	1.3842	1.2786	1.3548
September	1.3963	1.3766	1.3844
October	1.3882	1.3694	1.3803
November	1.3913	1.3760	1.3829
December	1.3986	1.3849	1.3928