YEARLY HIGH
6.5464 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.3261 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8747 RSD

2011 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 6.5464. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 5.3261.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2203 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3169 to the December average rate of 5.8607, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.5464 was down 5.21% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.9062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,732 RSD
2010 Average 31,956 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 26,630 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,101.55 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.3972
5.4342
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.8832, compared to 5.8661 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0171 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.8832
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8661

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 0.6197 RSD (High: 5.9871 / Low: 5.3674). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2405 RSD (High: 6.2915 / Low: 6.0510).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.6197
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2405

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2593 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2593

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 6.3169) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.1210), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1959 (+3.20%).

2011 Avg (January) 6.3169
2010 Avg (January) 6.1210

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5464 6.0608 6.3169
February 6.2915 6.0510 6.1355
March 6.1356 5.8256 5.9791
April 5.9871 5.3674 5.7198
May 5.6519 5.3261 5.5144
June 5.8764 5.3830 5.6336
July 6.0299 5.5707 5.8353
August 5.9729 5.5672 5.8092
September 6.1401 5.6144 5.9389
October 6.1718 5.5683 5.8342
November 6.0711 5.6670 5.9184
December 6.1308 5.6621 5.8607