YEARLY HIGH
8.9826 RSD
YEARLY LOW
7.5977 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3836 RSD

2016 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 8.9826. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 7.5977.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3849 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.6280 to the December average rate of 8.7421, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.9826 was down 4.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.3598, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44,913 RSD
2015 Average 40,919 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 37,988 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,924.54 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.8099
7.9960
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3052, compared to 8.4619 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1567 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3052
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.4619

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.0314 RSD (High: 8.6291 / Low: 7.5977). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2038 RSD (High: 8.4052 / Low: 8.2014).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.0314
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3648 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3648

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 8.7421) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.7544), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0123 (-0.14%).

2016 Avg (December) 8.7421
2015 Avg (December) 8.7544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7971 8.2919 8.6280
February 8.6291 7.5977 8.2632
March 8.5517 7.9621 8.3237
April 8.5605 7.6932 8.0638
May 8.5088 7.8022 8.1652
June 8.8489 8.1327 8.3876
July 8.7437 8.2630 8.4654
August 8.4911 8.1284 8.3052
September 8.4052 8.2014 8.2928
October 8.6060 8.2191 8.4185
November 8.8248 8.2591 8.5475
December 8.9826 8.5619 8.7421