YEARLY HIGH
7.6843 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.7399 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.3579 RSD

2018 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 7.6843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 6.7399.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9443 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9886 to the December average rate of 7.6024, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.6843 was down 15.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.0719, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,421 RSD
2017 Average 39,659 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,700 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,721.68 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.6859
6.9252
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1828, compared to 7.5331 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3504 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1828
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.5331

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.5545 RSD (High: 7.6081 / Low: 7.0536). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0663 RSD (High: 7.4840 / Low: 7.4177).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5545
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0663

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0921 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0921

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 7.6225) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.3205), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3020 (+4.13%).

2018 Avg (November) 7.6225
2017 Avg (November) 7.3205

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1871 6.7879 6.9886
February 7.2294 6.7733 7.0396
March 7.1601 6.7399 7.0263
April 7.2736 6.9333 7.1469
May 7.6081 7.0536 7.4097
June 7.5376 7.3816 7.4854
July 7.4840 7.4177 7.4517
August 7.6528 7.4231 7.5301
September 7.5277 7.0859 7.4379
October 7.6648 7.4165 7.5541
November 7.6843 7.5588 7.6225
December 7.6779 7.4638 7.6024