YEARLY HIGH
7.4766 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.6421 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9535 RSD

2014 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 7.4766. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 30, dropping to 6.6421.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8345 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0196 to the December average rate of 7.0599, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 7.4766 was up 0.09% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.4702, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,383 RSD
2013 Average 35,276 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,211 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,172.33 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

7.0879
6.7524
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9440, compared to 6.9630 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9440
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9630

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.6391 RSD (High: 7.4766 / Low: 6.8375). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1493 RSD (High: 7.0053 / Low: 6.8560).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.6391
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1493

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1303 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1303

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 7.0599) against the same month in 2013 (average: 6.9432), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1167 (+1.68%).

2014 Avg (December) 7.0599
2013 Avg (December) 6.9432

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1001 6.9004 7.0196
February 7.0835 6.9273 6.9930
March 6.9830 6.8111 6.8961
April 7.0254 6.7955 6.9275
May 7.0690 6.7418 6.9030
June 7.0053 6.8560 6.9247
July 7.0694 6.8521 6.9775
August 7.1250 6.8883 7.0117
September 7.1242 6.9178 7.0383
October 7.2072 6.6421 6.9106
November 6.8461 6.6834 6.7803
December 7.4766 6.8375 7.0599