YEARLY HIGH
8.7221 RSD
YEARLY LOW
7.4340 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0713 RSD

2023 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 8.7221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 21, dropping to 7.4340.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2881 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0404 to the December average rate of 7.9927, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.7221 was down 7.34% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.4133, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,611 RSD
2022 Average 41,279 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 37,170 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,440.41 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.4088
7.8465
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.0135, compared to 8.1292 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1156 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.0135
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1292

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.9704 RSD (High: 8.5388 / Low: 7.5684). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3096 RSD (High: 8.1819 / Low: 7.8723).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.9704
August Spread (Stable) ±0.3096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2224 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2224

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 8.3312) against the same month in 2022 (average: 8.9337), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6025 (-6.74%).

2023 Avg (October) 8.3312
2022 Avg (October) 8.9337

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.5163 7.6155 8.0404
February 8.5388 7.5684 8.0962
March 8.4475 7.7682 8.1378
April 8.2741 7.5983 7.9154
May 8.3212 7.5991 7.9979
June 8.3102 7.5542 7.8934
July 8.2492 7.4340 7.9362
August 8.1819 7.8723 8.0391
September 8.6406 8.0533 8.3619
October 8.7221 8.0194 8.3312
November 8.4008 7.7653 8.1138
December 8.4284 7.6164 7.9927