YEARLY HIGH
7.4702 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.3916 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.0529 RSD

2013 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 28, valuing the pair at 7.4702. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 6.3916.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0787 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.4686 to the December average rate of 6.9432, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.4702 was up 1.58% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.3542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,351 RSD
2012 Average 32,071 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 31,958 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,393.37 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.3901
6.3848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0347, compared to 7.0712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0365 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0347
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.5597 RSD (High: 7.4702 / Low: 6.9105). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1163 RSD (High: 7.0020 / Low: 6.8857).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5597
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1163

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1936 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1936

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 7.2788) against the same month in 2012 (average: 5.9455), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3333 (+22.42%).

2013 Avg (March) 7.2788
2012 Avg (March) 5.9455

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5960 6.3916 6.4686
February 6.9032 6.4045 6.6052
March 7.4702 6.9105 7.2788
April 7.4545 7.1842 7.3063
May 7.3401 7.1548 7.2539
June 7.3806 7.1819 7.2953
July 7.4615 7.1354 7.2673
August 7.2347 7.0882 7.1352
September 7.2599 7.0178 7.1322
October 7.0259 6.8182 6.9386
November 7.1156 6.9324 7.0104
December 7.0020 6.8857 6.9432