YEARLY HIGH
9.3598 RSD
YEARLY LOW
7.3100 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1808 RSD

2015 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 9.3598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 7.3100.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0498 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5689 to the December average rate of 8.7544, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 9.3598 was up 25.19% compared to the 2014 peak of 7.4766, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 46,799 RSD
2014 Average 34,768 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 36,550 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,248.86 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

8.8830
7.4494
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9421, compared to 8.4194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4773 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9421
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.4194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.9725 RSD (High: 9.3598 / Low: 8.3873). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2164 RSD (High: 8.4317 / Low: 8.2153).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.9725
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1384 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1384

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 8.7544) against the same month in 2014 (average: 7.0599), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6945 (+24.00%).

2015 Avg (December) 8.7544
2014 Avg (December) 7.0599

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.9331 7.3100 7.5689
February 7.9495 7.5284 7.6245
March 8.3998 7.6496 8.1093
April 8.3180 7.8967 8.1870
May 8.3495 7.8564 8.0487
June 8.2329 7.9923 8.1144
July 8.4317 8.2153 8.3252
August 8.4350 7.9332 8.2530
September 8.4040 7.9373 8.1993
October 8.6176 7.8187 8.2212
November 9.1079 8.3074 8.7636
December 9.3598 8.3873 8.7544