YEARLY HIGH
7.3542 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.6088 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4121 RSD

2012 SCR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 16, valuing the pair at 7.3542. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 5.6088.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7454 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8620 to the December average rate of 6.6004, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.3542 was up 12.34% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.5464, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,771 RSD
2011 Average 29,367 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 28,044 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,727.00 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.3066
5.7016
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0536, compared to 6.7706 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7170 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0536
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.7706

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.6819 RSD (High: 6.9599 / Low: 6.2780). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2381 RSD (High: 6.7965 / Low: 6.5583).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.6819
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2381

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2498 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2498

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 7.1728) against the same month in 2011 (average: 5.8092), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3636 (+23.47%).

2012 Avg (August) 7.1728
2011 Avg (August) 5.8092

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.1308 5.6722 5.8620
February 5.9481 5.6088 5.8353
March 6.1208 5.8370 5.9455
April 6.1442 5.8370 6.0340
May 6.5041 5.9743 6.2643
June 6.5912 6.1790 6.3805
July 6.9599 6.2780 6.5205
August 7.3542 6.8526 7.1728
September 7.2539 6.7625 6.9407
October 6.8677 6.4876 6.6909
November 6.7965 6.5583 6.6985
December 6.7493 6.5002 6.6004