2011 SCR to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.6451 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.1981 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3618 RUB

2011 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 5, valuing the pair at 2.6451. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 2.1981.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4470 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.4300 to the December average rate of 2.3630, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 2.6451 was down 3.44% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.7393, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,226 RUB

2010 Average 12,518 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 10,991 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,234.94 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.5184

2.2320

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3235, compared to 2.4001 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0766 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3235

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4001

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.3044 RUB (High: 2.6249 / Low: 2.3205). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0939 RUB (High: 2.4328 / Low: 2.3389).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.3044

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0939

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0787 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 2.4945) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.4698), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0246 (+1.00%).

2011 Avg (October) 2.4945

2010 Avg (October) 2.4698

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.5216	2.3670	2.4300
February	2.4328	2.3389	2.3747
March	2.3572	2.2618	2.3088
April	2.3422	2.2014	2.2922
May	2.3322	2.1981	2.2558
June	2.3430	2.2268	2.2794
July	2.3337	2.2084	2.2816
August	2.4461	2.2282	2.3530
September	2.6249	2.3205	2.4925
October	2.6451	2.3458	2.4945
November	2.4575	2.3286	2.4158
December	2.4310	2.2578	2.3630