2013 SCR to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.7988 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.3016 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6391 RUB

2013 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 7, valuing the pair at 2.7988. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 2.3016.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4972 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3225 to the December average rate of 2.7246, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 2.7988 was up 12.48% compared to the 2012 peak of 2.4883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,994 RUB

2012 Average 11,336 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 11,508 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,485.83 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

2.7929

2.2797

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5632, compared to 2.7150 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1518 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5632

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.7150

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1814 RUB (High: 2.6640 / Low: 2.4826). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0488 RUB (High: 2.7473 / Low: 2.6985).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1814

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0488

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0471 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0471

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 2.7357) against the same month in 2012 (average: 2.2339), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5018 (+22.46%).

2013 Avg (July) 2.7357

2012 Avg (July) 2.2339

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3517	2.3016	2.3225
February	2.4814	2.3461	2.3924
March	2.6640	2.4826	2.6026
April	2.7137	2.6462	2.6763
May	2.6971	2.6420	2.6588
June	2.7678	2.6749	2.7268
July	2.7988	2.6799	2.7357
August	2.7816	2.7299	2.7502
September	2.7857	2.6370	2.7065
October	2.6842	2.6182	2.6594
November	2.7436	2.6739	2.7136
December	2.7473	2.6985	2.7246