YEARLY HIGH
5.9174 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.4449 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2771 RUB

2020 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 5.9174. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 3.4449.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4725 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5297 to the December average rate of 3.4906, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.9174 was up 12.37% compared to the 2019 peak of 5.2662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,587 RUB
2019 Average 23,651 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 17,225 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,362.28 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.6561
3.2938
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5730, compared to 3.9811 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5919 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5730
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9811

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 1.5470 RUB (High: 5.7194 / Low: 4.1724). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2069 RUB (High: 3.6518 / Low: 3.4449).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.5470
December Spread (Stable) ±0.2069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.8399 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 5.4592) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.7642), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6950 (+14.59%).

2020 Avg (March) 5.4592
2019 Avg (March) 4.7642

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8372 4.4532 4.5297
February 5.0240 4.5902 4.6982
March 5.9174 4.8315 5.4592
April 5.7194 4.1724 4.6194
May 4.5982 3.9894 4.1868
June 4.1049 3.8359 3.9447
July 4.1795 3.9347 4.0499
August 4.2292 3.9594 4.1347
September 4.4047 4.1140 4.2368
October 4.3590 3.9526 4.1986
November 4.1702 3.6259 3.7762
December 3.6518 3.4449 3.4906