2014 SCR to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.9150 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.7238 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

3.0164 RUB

2014 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 4.9150. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 2.7238.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1913 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7925 to the December average rate of 4.0252, the exchange rate registered a net change of 44.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.9150 was up 75.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 2.7988, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,575 RUB

2013 Average 13,202 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 13,619 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,956.30 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.1485

2.6693

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.8824, compared to 3.1503 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2679 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.8824

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.1503

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 1.3122 RUB (High: 4.9150 / Low: 3.6028). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0846 RUB (High: 3.0191 / Low: 2.9346).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.3122

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0846

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0927 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0927

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.0252) against the same month in 2013 (average: 2.7246), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3006 (+47.74%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.0252

2013 Avg (December) 2.7246

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.8936	2.7238	2.7925
February	2.9836	2.8368	2.9059
March	3.0191	2.9346	2.9793
April	3.0207	2.8988	2.9536
May	2.9872	2.7319	2.8609
June	2.8885	2.7303	2.8024
July	2.8926	2.7621	2.8231
August	2.9510	2.7884	2.8775
September	3.0081	2.8318	2.9066
October	3.0497	2.9366	2.9999
November	3.5203	3.0279	3.2696
December	4.9150	3.6028	4.0252