YEARLY HIGH
5.1870 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.9662 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6116 RUB

2018 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 5.1870. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 3.9662.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2208 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0729 to the December average rate of 4.9438, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.1870 was up 10.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.6734, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,935 RUB
2017 Average 21,471 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 19,831 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,103.96 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.0406
3.9850
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3692, compared to 4.8540 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4848 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3692
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8540

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.6184 RUB (High: 5.1870 / Low: 4.5686). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1254 RUB (High: 4.7102 / Low: 4.5848).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.6184
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1254

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1261 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1261

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.9526) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2294), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7232 (+17.10%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.9526
2017 Avg (September) 4.2294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1529 3.9662 4.0729
February 4.3368 3.9980 4.1776
March 4.2878 4.0293 4.1881
April 4.6808 4.1852 4.5104
May 4.7407 4.4075 4.6203
June 4.7102 4.5848 4.6461
July 4.7018 4.5637 4.6396
August 5.0207 4.6381 4.8876
September 5.1870 4.5686 4.9526
October 4.9149 4.7260 4.8266
November 4.9809 4.8000 4.8739
December 5.1010 4.8018 4.9438