2012 SCR to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.4883 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.0406 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2668 RUB

2012 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 4, valuing the pair at 2.4883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 1, dropping to 2.0406.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4477 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2602 to the December average rate of 2.3466, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.4883 was down 5.93% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.6451, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,442 RUB

2011 Average 11,808 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 10,203 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,238.46 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.4463

2.0486

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1721, compared to 2.3614 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1893 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1721

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3614

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.2906 RUB (High: 2.4158 / Low: 2.1252). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0497 RUB (High: 2.3620 / Low: 2.3123).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2906

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0497

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1310 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1310

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 2.4131) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.4925), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0794 (-3.19%).

2012 Avg (September) 2.4131

2011 Avg (September) 2.4925

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.4158	2.1252	2.2602
February	2.1730	2.0740	2.1293
March	2.1460	2.0406	2.0818
April	2.1431	2.0406	2.1015
May	2.2857	2.0803	2.1824
June	2.3545	2.2220	2.2775
July	2.3305	2.1313	2.2339
August	2.4843	2.2877	2.4100
September	2.4883	2.3549	2.4131
October	2.4013	2.3406	2.3740
November	2.4312	2.3425	2.3908
December	2.3620	2.3123	2.3466