YEARLY HIGH
6.4042 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.4975 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0517 RUB

2016 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 6.4042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 4.4975.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9068 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8549 to the December average rate of 4.6341, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.4042 was up 12.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.6915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,021 RUB
2015 Average 23,047 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 22,487 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,533.98 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.9769
4.5120
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.2930, compared to 4.8103 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4827 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.2930
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8103

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.8811 RUB (High: 6.4042 / Low: 5.5231). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1310 RUB (High: 4.7996 / Low: 4.6686).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8811
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1310

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5080 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.8549) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.6040), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2509 (+27.17%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.8549
2015 Avg (January) 4.6040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.4042 5.5231 5.8549
February 6.0542 5.4688 5.7674
March 5.5168 4.9495 5.2593
April 5.2125 4.6147 4.9580
May 5.0645 4.7932 4.9483
June 5.1242 4.8300 4.9704
July 5.0126 4.7435 4.8910
August 5.0549 4.7793 4.9021
September 5.0196 4.7211 4.8675
October 4.7996 4.6686 4.7276
November 4.9812 4.7452 4.8393
December 4.8175 4.4975 4.6341