YEARLY HIGH
7.9013 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.8684 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.3659 RUB

2023 SCR to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the SCR to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 6, valuing the pair at 7.9013. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 4.8684.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.0329 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1704 to the December average rate of 6.7802, the exchange rate registered a net change of 31.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 7.9013 was down 20.25% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.9073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,506 RUB
2022 Average 25,669 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 24,342 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,164.45 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

7.5825
4.9511
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7050, compared to 7.0268 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.3218 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7050
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0268

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was October, with a trading range of 1.0378 RUB (High: 7.9013 / Low: 6.8634). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5453 RUB (High: 6.0945 / Low: 5.5492).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0378
May Spread (Stable) ±0.5453

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5036 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 7.2858) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.6344), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6514 (+57.21%).

2023 Avg (October) 7.2858
2022 Avg (October) 4.6344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5833 4.8684 5.1704
February 5.8344 4.9646 5.4300
March 5.9406 5.3769 5.6758
April 6.3338 5.5655 5.9990
May 6.0945 5.5492 5.8660
June 6.6354 5.7595 6.0891
July 7.0331 6.3867 6.7824
August 7.5038 6.9441 7.1668
September 7.5863 7.0376 7.3633
October 7.9013 6.8634 7.2858
November 7.0513 6.4753 6.7823
December 7.1587 6.5204 6.7802