2011 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.1465 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.2210 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.1395 KES

2011 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 12.1465. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 9.2210.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9255 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.2551 to the December average rate of 9.8797, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 12.1465 was up 29.31% compared to the 2010 peak of 9.3936, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,732 KES

2010 Average 45,275 KES

Yearly Trough Low 46,105 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,627.28 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

11.7720

9.0263

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.6172, compared to 10.6619 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0447 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.6172

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6619

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.0492 KES (High: 11.2432 / Low: 10.1941). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0664 KES (High: 9.2874 / Low: 9.2210).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0492

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0664

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8916 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8916

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 11.5431) against the same month in 2010 (average: 9.2171), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3260 (+25.24%).

2011 Avg (October) 11.5431

2010 Avg (October) 9.2171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.2874	9.2210	9.2551
February	9.4150	9.2525	9.3175
March	9.8267	9.4563	9.6340
April	9.6269	9.5147	9.5791
May	9.9208	9.5194	9.7498
June	10.4575	9.8150	10.1676
July	10.4145	10.1257	10.2757
August	10.8521	10.4187	10.6173
September	11.7564	10.7099	11.0040
October	12.1465	11.3381	11.5431
November	11.2432	10.1941	10.6516
December	10.2740	9.5384	9.8797