2016 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.7478 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.4738 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.6085 KES

2016 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 11.7478. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 11.4738.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2739 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.7027 to the December average rate of 11.6790, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 11.7478 was down 2.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 12.1074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,739 KES

2015 Average 56,164 KES

Yearly Trough Low 57,369 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,369.64 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

11.7208

11.5036

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.6075, compared to 11.6096 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.6075

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6096

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.1166 KES (High: 11.7251 / Low: 11.6085). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0482 KES (High: 11.6113 / Low: 11.5631).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1166

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0482

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0578 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 11.6638) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.4496), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2143 (+11.62%).

2016 Avg (February) 11.6638

2015 Avg (February) 10.4496

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.7303	11.6699	11.7027
February	11.7478	11.6344	11.6638
March	11.6300	11.5755	11.6092
April	11.6248	11.5524	11.5796
May	11.5723	11.4738	11.5217
June	11.6080	11.5197	11.5679
July	11.6185	11.5327	11.5839
August	11.6113	11.5631	11.5951
September	11.5996	11.5500	11.5768
October	11.6442	11.5694	11.5905
November	11.6648	11.5764	11.6323
December	11.7251	11.6085	11.6790