2014 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.3843 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.7863 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.0495 KES

2014 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 10.3843. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 9.7863.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5980 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.8571 to the December average rate of 10.3300, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.3843 was up 3.17% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.0652, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,921 KES

2013 Average 49,223 KES

Yearly Trough Low 48,931 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,989.96 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

10.3773

9.8098

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.9226, compared to 10.1763 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2537 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.9226

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.1763

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.1622 KES (High: 10.2021 / Low: 10.0400). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0361 KES (High: 10.0450 / Low: 10.0089).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1622

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0361

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 10.3300) against the same month in 2013 (average: 9.8644), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4656 (+4.72%).

2014 Avg (December) 10.3300

2013 Avg (December) 9.8644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	9.9352	9.7863	9.8571
February	9.8942	9.8418	9.8648
March	9.9246	9.8724	9.8925
April	9.9456	9.8788	9.9131
May	10.0455	9.9241	9.9923
June	10.0667	9.9892	10.0160
July	10.0450	10.0089	10.0297
August	10.1083	10.0330	10.0704
September	10.2021	10.0400	10.1441
October	10.2746	10.1174	10.1958
November	10.3175	10.2378	10.2880
December	10.3843	10.2838	10.3300