2015 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.1074 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.3119 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.2283 KES

2015 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 15, valuing the pair at 12.1074. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 10.3119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7955 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.4306 to the December average rate of 11.7156, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 12.1074 was up 16.59% compared to the 2014 peak of 10.3843, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,537 KES

2014 Average 50,253 KES

Yearly Trough Low 51,559 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,977.71 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

12.2135

10.2685

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7069, compared to 11.7498 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7069

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.7498

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was October, with a trading range of 0.3938 KES (High: 11.9546 / Low: 11.5609). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1227 KES (High: 11.7708 / Low: 11.6481).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3938

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1227

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3104 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3104

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 12.0514) against the same month in 2014 (average: 10.1441), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9074 (+18.80%).

2015 Avg (September) 12.0514

2014 Avg (September) 10.1441

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.5282	10.3119	10.4306
February	10.5061	10.3492	10.4496
March	10.5912	10.3375	10.4693
April	10.8654	10.5587	10.6880
May	11.2100	10.8756	11.0273
June	11.3312	11.0313	11.1764
July	11.7194	11.3360	11.5805
August	11.9342	11.5422	11.7268
September	12.1074	11.8866	12.0514
October	11.9546	11.5609	11.7410
November	11.7708	11.6481	11.6832
December	11.8748	11.6658	11.7156