2012 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.0121 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.3775 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.6578 KES

2012 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 10.0121. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 9.3775.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6346 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.8408 to the December average rate of 9.8296, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 10.0121 was down 17.57% compared to the 2011 peak of 12.1465, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 50,060 KES

2011 Average 50,720 KES

Yearly Trough Low 46,887 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,172.82 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

9.8776

9.4360

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.6053, compared to 9.7102 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1049 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.6053

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.7102

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.4297 KES (High: 10.0121 / Low: 9.5823). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0323 KES (High: 9.5209 / Low: 9.4886).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4297

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0323

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3466 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3466

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 9.8408) against the same month in 2011 (average: 9.2551), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5857 (+6.33%).

2012 Avg (January) 9.8408

2011 Avg (January) 9.2551

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.0121	9.5823	9.8408
February	9.5729	9.4355	9.4942
March	9.5093	9.3775	9.4728
April	9.5209	9.4886	9.5015
May	9.9157	9.4932	9.6308
June	9.8528	9.5447	9.6918
July	9.6579	9.5803	9.6197
August	9.6624	9.5782	9.6124
September	9.7789	9.6178	9.6803
October	9.7519	9.7085	9.7328
November	9.8433	9.7442	9.7868
December	9.8720	9.7905	9.8296