2018 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.8507 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.4141 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.5768 KES

2018 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 11.8507. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 11.4141.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4366 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.7595 to the December average rate of 11.6794, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.8507 was down 1.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 12.0128, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,254 KES

2017 Average 59,102 KES

Yearly Trough Low 57,071 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,183.18 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.7856

11.4731

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.5753, compared to 11.5782 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.5753

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.5782

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2436 KES (High: 11.8270 / Low: 11.5834). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0765 KES (High: 11.5733 / Low: 11.4969).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2436

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0765

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1725 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1725

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 11.7595) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.8574), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0979 (-0.83%).

2018 Avg (January) 11.7595

2017 Avg (January) 11.8574

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.8507	11.6829	11.7595
February	11.6489	11.5086	11.5871
March	11.6106	11.5106	11.5624
April	11.5994	11.4141	11.4992
May	11.6126	11.4420	11.5010
June	11.5854	11.5057	11.5427
July	11.5547	11.4156	11.5021
August	11.5598	11.4722	11.5107
September	11.5733	11.4969	11.5231
October	11.6457	11.5170	11.5556
November	11.8270	11.5834	11.6982
December	11.7291	11.5769	11.6794