2017 SVC to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.0128 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.6675 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.8205 KES

2017 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 20, valuing the pair at 12.0128. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 11.6675.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3453 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.8574 to the December average rate of 11.7785, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 12.0128 was up 2.26% compared to the 2016 peak of 11.7478, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,064 KES

2016 Average 58,042 KES

Yearly Trough Low 58,338 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,726.41 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

11.8975

11.7481

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.8169, compared to 11.8241 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0073 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.8169

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.8241

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.2789 KES (High: 11.9465 / Low: 11.6675). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0723 KES (High: 11.8182 / Low: 11.7460).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2789

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0723

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0801 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0801

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2017: 11.8850) against the same month in 2016 (average: 11.5839), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3012 (+2.60%).

2017 Avg (July) 11.8850

2016 Avg (July) 11.5839

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.9465	11.6675	11.8574
February	11.9359	11.7584	11.8406
March	11.8706	11.7056	11.7605
April	11.8554	11.7388	11.8022
May	11.8732	11.7401	11.8058
June	11.8821	11.7764	11.8345
July	12.0128	11.8133	11.8850
August	11.9302	11.7256	11.8457
September	11.8414	11.6854	11.7782
October	11.8645	11.7609	11.8175
November	11.8797	11.7778	11.8399
December	11.8182	11.7460	11.7785