2011 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0123 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0098 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0112 GMD

2011 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.0123. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.0098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0025 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0119 to the December average rate of 0.0118, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0123 was down 11.95% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0140, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 62 GMD

2010 Average 63 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 49 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12.73 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0121

0.0099

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0116, compared to 0.0108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0116

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0016 GMD (High: 0.0114 / Low: 0.0098). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 GMD (High: 0.0118 / Low: 0.0113).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0016

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.0118) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0120), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0002 (-1.58%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.0118

2010 Avg (December) 0.0120

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0123	0.0115	0.0119
February	0.0122	0.0115	0.0120
March	0.0119	0.0111	0.0115
April	0.0119	0.0112	0.0116
May	0.0118	0.0113	0.0116
June	0.0119	0.0104	0.0113
July	0.0111	0.0101	0.0107
August	0.0109	0.0098	0.0101
September	0.0107	0.0099	0.0103
October	0.0114	0.0098	0.0104
November	0.0117	0.0111	0.0113
December	0.0123	0.0113	0.0118