2012 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0134 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0112 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0124 GMD

2012 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 0.0134. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 10, dropping to 0.0112.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0022 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0123 to the December average rate of 0.0116, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0134 was up 8.70% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0123, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67 GMD

2011 Average 56 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 56 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11.20 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0133

0.0115

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0124, compared to 0.0125 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0124

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0125

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 0.0019 GMD (High: 0.0132 / Low: 0.0113). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 GMD (High: 0.0128 / Low: 0.0125).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0019

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0130) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0120), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0010 (+8.75%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.0130

2011 Avg (February) 0.0120

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0130	0.0116	0.0123
February	0.0134	0.0120	0.0130
March	0.0126	0.0120	0.0123
April	0.0120	0.0116	0.0118
May	0.0124	0.0120	0.0123
June	0.0127	0.0121	0.0124
July	0.0128	0.0125	0.0127
August	0.0133	0.0127	0.0128
September	0.0134	0.0129	0.0131
October	0.0132	0.0127	0.0130
November	0.0132	0.0113	0.0118
December	0.0122	0.0112	0.0116