2018 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0134 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0121 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0129 GMD

2018 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.0134. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 28, dropping to 0.0121.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0013 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0132 to the December average rate of 0.0133, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0134 was up 1.57% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0132, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67 GMD

2017 Average 63 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 60 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.68 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0134

0.0122

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0128, compared to 0.0130 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0128

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0130

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0009 GMD (High: 0.0130 / Low: 0.0121). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 GMD (High: 0.0134 / Low: 0.0132).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0009

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0133) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0131), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0002 (+1.66%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0133

2017 Avg (December) 0.0131

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0134	0.0130	0.0132
February	0.0132	0.0129	0.0130
March	0.0131	0.0128	0.0129
April	0.0129	0.0127	0.0128
May	0.0127	0.0125	0.0127
June	0.0125	0.0121	0.0123
July	0.0130	0.0121	0.0127
August	0.0131	0.0127	0.0129
September	0.0129	0.0127	0.0128
October	0.0132	0.0129	0.0131
November	0.0134	0.0132	0.0133
December	0.0134	0.0132	0.0133