2016 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0129 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0113 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0123 GMD

2016 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 0.0129. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 0.0113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0017 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0115 to the December average rate of 0.0119, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0129 was down 16.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0155, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65 GMD

2015 Average 64 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 56 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8.28 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0129

0.0113

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0122, compared to 0.0124 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0122

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0124

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0010 GMD (High: 0.0127 / Low: 0.0117). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 GMD (High: 0.0126 / Low: 0.0125).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0010

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0128) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0144), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0016 (-11.20%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0128

2015 Avg (April) 0.0144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0117	0.0113	0.0115
February	0.0118	0.0114	0.0115
March	0.0127	0.0117	0.0121
April	0.0129	0.0127	0.0128
May	0.0129	0.0126	0.0128
June	0.0128	0.0125	0.0127
July	0.0127	0.0125	0.0126
August	0.0127	0.0126	0.0126
September	0.0126	0.0125	0.0126
October	0.0126	0.0123	0.0124
November	0.0124	0.0117	0.0120
December	0.0120	0.0118	0.0119