YEARLY HIGH
0.0140 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.0131 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0135 GMD

2019 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 0.0140. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 6, dropping to 0.0131.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0010 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0134 to the December average rate of 0.0140, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0140 was up 4.65% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0134, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70 GMD
2018 Average 65 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 65 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.92 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0140
0.0131
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0133, compared to 0.0137 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0133
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0137

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0004 GMD (High: 0.0135 / Low: 0.0131). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 GMD (High: 0.0134 / Low: 0.0134).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.0140) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0133), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+4.89%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.0140
2018 Avg (December) 0.0133

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0135 0.0133 0.0134
February 0.0135 0.0134 0.0135
March 0.0134 0.0134 0.0134
April 0.0134 0.0132 0.0133
May 0.0133 0.0131 0.0132
June 0.0135 0.0131 0.0133
July 0.0135 0.0133 0.0135
August 0.0138 0.0135 0.0136
September 0.0138 0.0136 0.0137
October 0.0138 0.0136 0.0137
November 0.0139 0.0138 0.0139
December 0.0140 0.0138 0.0140