2015 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0155 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0106 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0129 GMD

2015 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0155. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.0106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0049 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0151 to the December average rate of 0.0118, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0155 was down 4.35% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0162, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 77 GMD

2014 Average 77 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 53 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24.48 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0155

0.0103

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0145, compared to 0.0113 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0145

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0113

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0021 GMD (High: 0.0141 / Low: 0.0120). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 GMD (High: 0.0145 / Low: 0.0143).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0151) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0152), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0002 (-1.09%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0151

2014 Avg (January) 0.0152

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0155	0.0148	0.0151
February	0.0153	0.0149	0.0150
March	0.0149	0.0143	0.0146
April	0.0145	0.0143	0.0144
May	0.0144	0.0141	0.0143
June	0.0141	0.0120	0.0134
July	0.0121	0.0112	0.0118
August	0.0116	0.0109	0.0112
September	0.0111	0.0106	0.0108
October	0.0112	0.0106	0.0108
November	0.0118	0.0110	0.0115
December	0.0121	0.0115	0.0118