2013 UGX to GMD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0152 GMD

YEARLY LOW

0.0121 GMD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0131 GMD

2013 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.0152. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 0.0121.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0032 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0125 to the December average rate of 0.0151, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0152 was up 13.86% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0134, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76 GMD

2012 Average 62 GMD

Yearly Trough Low 60 GMD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15.81 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0154

0.0122

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0129, compared to 0.0133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0129

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 0.0021 GMD (High: 0.0150 / Low: 0.0129). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 GMD (High: 0.0130 / Low: 0.0128).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 0.0151) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0116), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0035 (+29.97%).

2013 Avg (December) 0.0151

2012 Avg (December) 0.0116

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0128	0.0121	0.0125
February	0.0127	0.0124	0.0125
March	0.0128	0.0124	0.0126
April	0.0131	0.0126	0.0129
May	0.0136	0.0127	0.0129
June	0.0141	0.0131	0.0139
July	0.0139	0.0125	0.0127
August	0.0135	0.0126	0.0127
September	0.0129	0.0126	0.0127
October	0.0130	0.0128	0.0129
November	0.0150	0.0129	0.0137
December	0.0152	0.0149	0.0151