YEARLY HIGH
0.0132 GMD
YEARLY LOW
0.0118 GMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0127 GMD

2017 UGX to GMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to GMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 13, valuing the pair at 0.0132. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.0118.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0014 GMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0120 to the December average rate of 0.0131, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.0132 was up 1.99% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.0129, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66 GMD
2016 Average 61 GMD
Yearly Trough Low 59 GMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.18 GMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.0132
0.0119
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to GMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0125, compared to 0.0129 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0125
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0129

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.0004 GMD (High: 0.0122 / Low: 0.0118). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 GMD (High: 0.0131 / Low: 0.0130).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2017: 0.0131) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.0119), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0012 (+10.19%).

2017 Avg (December) 0.0131
2016 Avg (December) 0.0119

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0122 0.0118 0.0120
February 0.0125 0.0121 0.0123
March 0.0125 0.0123 0.0124
April 0.0125 0.0123 0.0125
May 0.0128 0.0125 0.0127
June 0.0129 0.0127 0.0128
July 0.0129 0.0127 0.0128
August 0.0129 0.0125 0.0127
September 0.0128 0.0126 0.0127
October 0.0131 0.0127 0.0129
November 0.0131 0.0130 0.0130
December 0.0132 0.0130 0.0131