2011 UGX to KMF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1629 KMF

YEARLY LOW

0.1204 KMF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1409 KMF

2011 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.1629. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.1204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0425 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1581 to the December average rate of 0.1525, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1629 was down 11.77% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 814 KMF

2010 Average 854 KMF

Yearly Trough Low 602 KMF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 212.26 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1614

0.1213

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1475, compared to 0.1343 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0131 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1475

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1343

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0168 KMF (High: 0.1600 / Low: 0.1432). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 KMF (High: 0.1361 / Low: 0.1307).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0168

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0085 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.1581) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1783), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0203 (-11.36%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.1581

2010 Avg (January) 0.1783

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1629	0.1538	0.1581
February	0.1563	0.1507	0.1536
March	0.1504	0.1437	0.1466
April	0.1459	0.1391	0.1435
May	0.1471	0.1386	0.1434
June	0.1434	0.1274	0.1396
July	0.1361	0.1307	0.1331
August	0.1312	0.1204	0.1247
September	0.1297	0.1222	0.1268
October	0.1361	0.1239	0.1281
November	0.1457	0.1356	0.1408
December	0.1600	0.1432	0.1525