YEARLY HIGH
0.1644 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1386 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1532 KMF

2012 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 18, valuing the pair at 0.1644. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.1386.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0258 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1581 to the December average rate of 0.1404, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1644 was up 0.92% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1629, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 822 KMF
2011 Average 704 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 693 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 128.99 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1639
0.1383
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1550, compared to 0.1514 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1550
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1514

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0125 KMF (High: 0.1626 / Low: 0.1500). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 KMF (High: 0.1413 / Low: 0.1386).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0125
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0093 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0093

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 0.1617) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1331), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0286 (+21.52%).

2012 Avg (July) 0.1617
2011 Avg (July) 0.1331

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1613 0.1532 0.1581
February 0.1626 0.1500 0.1594
March 0.1530 0.1453 0.1501
April 0.1517 0.1475 0.1494
May 0.1594 0.1482 0.1550
June 0.1601 0.1559 0.1579
July 0.1644 0.1557 0.1617
August 0.1615 0.1572 0.1599
September 0.1579 0.1495 0.1534
October 0.1492 0.1457 0.1469
November 0.1490 0.1408 0.1464
December 0.1413 0.1386 0.1404