YEARLY HIGH
0.1307 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1072 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1208 KMF

2017 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 22, valuing the pair at 0.1307. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 19, dropping to 0.1072.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0235 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1280 to the December average rate of 0.1147, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.1307 was down 3.46% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.1354, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 654 KMF
2016 Average 649 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 536 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 117.48 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.1304
0.1130
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1261, compared to 0.1155 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1261
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1155

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was August, with a trading range of 0.0095 KMF (High: 0.1167 / Low: 0.1072). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 KMF (High: 0.1164 / Low: 0.1141).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0095
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0038 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0038

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2017: 0.1289) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.1294), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0005 (-0.35%).

2017 Avg (February) 0.1289
2016 Avg (February) 0.1294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1296 0.1267 0.1280
February 0.1307 0.1264 0.1289
March 0.1306 0.1252 0.1276
April 0.1280 0.1232 0.1267
May 0.1247 0.1208 0.1229
June 0.1231 0.1203 0.1222
July 0.1209 0.1148 0.1184
August 0.1167 0.1072 0.1147
September 0.1163 0.1129 0.1145
October 0.1164 0.1141 0.1151
November 0.1169 0.1135 0.1154
December 0.1164 0.1130 0.1147