YEARLY HIGH
0.1609 KMF
YEARLY LOW
0.1173 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1381 KMF

2015 UGX to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 0.1609. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 14, dropping to 0.1173.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0436 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1484 to the December average rate of 0.1339, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.1609 was up 8.30% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.1486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 805 KMF
2014 Average 714 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 587 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 218.25 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.1579
0.1162
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1484, compared to 0.1278 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0206 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1484
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1278

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 0.0140 KMF (High: 0.1462 / Low: 0.1321). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 KMF (High: 0.1205 / Low: 0.1185).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0140
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0090 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0090

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 0.1544) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.1405), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0139 (+9.92%).

2015 Avg (March) 0.1544
2014 Avg (March) 0.1405

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1537 0.1448 0.1484
February 0.1522 0.1499 0.1510
March 0.1609 0.1510 0.1544
April 0.1556 0.1472 0.1522
May 0.1493 0.1438 0.1467
June 0.1462 0.1321 0.1378
July 0.1369 0.1264 0.1336
August 0.1309 0.1207 0.1253
September 0.1205 0.1185 0.1197
October 0.1267 0.1173 0.1204
November 0.1389 0.1261 0.1338
December 0.1390 0.1280 0.1339